Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Nate Silver 1053643794 Krista Kennell/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images Nate Silver, the celebrity statistician who gained ...

Election handicapper Nate Silver's prediction model is in the spotlight thanks to an election forecast that seems bullish on former President Donald Trump’s chances of victory, raising questions about ...

Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. “When the model was finally done on Sunday night, it turned out that Trump was favored by a slightly larger degree than I’d ...

The forecasters are fighting. Sometimes it’s a subtweet: “The blindingly obvious lesson of 2016 for election modelers is ‘it’s super easy to build an overconfident model, so think carefully about ...